GOP: White Like Me
This analysis appeared in the LAT on Friday, March 16. Always seeking to avoid offending anyone, the paper decided to change the title to "Is Today's GOP Too White to Win?" from that which appears in the National Journal.
The analysis gives the short-term and long-term reasons why the GOP is so invested in providing a solution to the non-existent problem of voter fraud. Since they party is unwilling - or unable - to attract minorities and younger voters (maybe add women after the GOP legislative nervous breakdown regarding sex and procreation), their only hope is to restrict the number of potentional voters in those groups. While none of this is news, but rather a continuing trend, the GOP seems incapable of changing while facing the fact that its core is diminishing -- with the future promising more of the same. White Like Me ... the Republican presidential primaries have witnessed an epic failure by the GOP contenders to attract and engage minority voters. White voters, especially older ones, are routinely casting 90 percent or more of the votes in GOP contests this year, at least as high a proportion as in 2008....
Republicans today rely on a preponderantly white coalition centered on older and blue-collar voters, many of whom express great unease not only about activist government but also about the demographic changes swelling the minority population. Democrats depend on a coalition of minorities and of white voters (particularly those with college degrees) who are the most comfortable with government activism and the propulsive demographic transformation.
This year's tumultuous Republican presidential race has underscored the dominance of whites, especially older white voters, in the GOP. After Tuesday's contests in Alabama and Mississippi, exit polls have been conducted in 16 states that have held Republican primaries or caucuses. In all but two, whites cast at least 90 percent of the ballots. Indeed, whites delivered at least 94 percent of the votes in all but five GOP contests this year. Whites represented only 74 percent of all voters in the 2008 general election...Whites are dominating the GOP electorate even in rapidly diversifying states.
This year's Republican electorate shades not only white but also gray. In 12 of the 16 states where exit polls have been conducted, voters over 50 cast at least 60 percent of the GOP primary votes; in the other four, they represented at least 55 percent of the vote. Just 43 percent of 2008 general-election voters were that old. Even compared with the 2008 GOP primaries, the gray tint is much more pronounced.
All of this flags near- and long-term challenges for the Republican Party. The problem this fall will be to attract minority (and younger) voters who are uninspired, or even alienated, by the primaries. As GOP front-runner Mitt Romney has hurtled to the right on immigration, recent surveys have shown Obama's support against him matching, or exceeding, the president's 67 percent showing among Hispanics in 2008.