Soooo, how much rain will we get Wed-Thurs?
It is looking like a 80 to 100 mile wide strip will get good rain starting in the northwest and going southeast. Only about 40 or 50 miles wide will see large amounts, one strip Wed and the second round Thurs.
From what I can tell (no expert or professional) the predicted area to get it will be through the OKC area or slightly north of it the first day, and then maybe a little further south and east the second day. You want the rain to develop north and east of you because if it develops very far southwest of you or northeast of you, you may be out of luck.
The American model up until tonight had the main strip near Tulsa, but the NWS is predicting it 80 miles to the south so I am guessing the superior Euro model must not be liking Tulsa's chances.
I'm predicting Dawn and I will each get half an inch and the areas in between will peak at 4 inches, just like the last couple of times and just like the NWS thinks.