El Nino? Not Happening., Neutral Period Expected
El Nino conditions have not developed. It appears we are in a neutral cycle and those neutral conditions are expected to remain in effect this winter.
Unfortunately, this likely means a dry winter and possibly a continuation of the drought in many areas for some time.
The supporting data can be found in the link below, with the conclusions at the end of the document.
Here is a link that might be useful: Climate Prediction Center's El Nino Analysis/Conclusions